Buffalo Bills 2025 win total prediction places them ahead of the Chiefs as AFC favorites. Will Josh Allen lead Buffalo to a No. 1 seed and a Super Bowl run this season?
The Buffalo Bills 2025 win total prediction has taken the NFL world by storm, as they’re now tied with the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens for the highest projected win total in the AFC at 11.5. With superstar quarterback Josh Allen returning to lead the charge, the Bills are positioned as serious contenders for the No. 1 seed — and possibly their long-awaited Super Bowl appearance.
According to Sports Illustrated’s AFC win total projections, the Bills are expected to exceed their 11.5-win total, alongside the Ravens, while the reigning AFC champion Chiefs are predicted to fall short. This bold call has made waves across NFL circles, giving Bills Mafia plenty of reasons to be excited.

Bills on a Roll: Six Straight Seasons of 10+ Wins
Under head coach Sean McDermott, Buffalo has become one of the NFL’s most consistently dominant teams. They’ve won at least 10 regular season games in each of the last six seasons, reaching the 13-win milestone three times during that span — a remarkable feat, especially with the level of competition in the AFC.
But despite this regular-season success, the Bills have yet to clinch the conference’s top seed. That elusive No. 1 spot could finally be within reach in 2025, and the implications are huge. Securing home-field advantage in the playoffs could be the key to outlasting Baltimore and Kansas City in the race to the Super Bowl.
Josh Allen: The Reigning MVP on a Mission
After capturing the NFL MVP award in 2024, Josh Allen enters the new season with heightened expectations. While the Bills didn’t make any major offensive splashes in the offseason, they’ve fortified their defense — a strategic move that could prove crucial in the postseason.
Key offseason moves include:
- Signing veteran edge rusher Joey Bosa to enhance the pass rush.
- Drafting standout cornerback Maxwell Hairston, adding depth and youth to the secondary.
These defensive upgrades complement an already potent offensive core, making the Bills one of the most balanced teams heading into the 2025 season.
AFC Showdown: Bills vs. Ravens vs. Chiefs
If SI’s predictions hold, the 2025 AFC playoff picture could be a dramatic three-way battle between the Bills, Ravens, and Chiefs. But with Buffalo projected to top their win total and Kansas City expected to slip, the path may finally be clearing for Buffalo to seize the No. 1 seed for the first time in McDermott’s tenure.

The potential for a Bills vs. Ravens AFC Championship rematch — following their intense 2024 Divisional Round clash — is already generating buzz among fans and analysts alike. As reported in NFL.com’s 2024 playoff coverage, that matchup was one of the most-watched games of the season.
Super Bowl or Bust?
With a loaded roster, elite quarterback play, and a projected win total that matches the best in the AFC, the Bills are clearly in “Super Bowl or bust” mode. The pressure is on — but Josh Allen has proven time and again that he thrives under it.
The Buffalo Bills 2025 win total prediction places them among the elite — and rightly so. With Allen at the helm, fresh defensive talent, and playoff experience under their belt, the stars may finally align for this powerhouse franchise. For now, all eyes are on Buffalo as they gear up for what could be the most defining season in their history.